Jhony Gregory vs Josh Fremd
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
72"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Daniel Oliveira MethodologyTeamFactory X
What's at stake
Josh Fremd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jhony Gregory carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1550
If they win+12→ 1661
If they lose-20→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jhony GregoryJosh Fremd
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Fremd79%
Jhony Gregory 21%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 79% favorite over Jhony Gregory in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Josh Fremd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1562, a 87-point edge.
Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jhony Gregory finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 77%.
Josh Fremd carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.