Combat Edge Intelligence

Jhony Gregory vs Josh Fremd

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
72"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Daniel Oliveira MethodologyTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Josh Fremd is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jhony Gregory carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jhony GregoryNow 1580
If they win+18→ 1598
If they lose-14→ 1566
Josh FremdNow 1630
If they win+14→ 1644
If they lose-18→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
8%
TBD
Takedown defense
30%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Jhony GregoryJosh Fremd
14501500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (33%)
1 (9%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Fremd57%
Jhony Gregory 43%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 57% favorite over Jhony Gregory in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Josh Fremd holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1580, a 50-point edge.

Jhony Gregory finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 75%.

Josh Fremd carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.