Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record28-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1730
If they lose-14→ 1706
If they win+14→ 1663
If they lose-10→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerJoe Lauzon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller72%
Joe Lauzon 28%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 72% favorite over Joe Lauzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1649, a 71-point edge.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Joe Lauzon 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.