Jim Miller vs Joe Solecki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record13-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamGym-O
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Solecki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1730
If they lose-14→ 1706
If they win+18→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerJoe Solecki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller62%
Joe Solecki 38%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 62% favorite over Joe Solecki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1667, a 53-point edge.
Joe Solecki enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Joe Solecki 69%.
Jim Miller and Joe Solecki share 1 common opponent: Jared Gordon.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.