Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Miller vs Mac Danzig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

39-19-0Record22-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamDanzig MMA

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Mac Danzig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704
Mac DanzigNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-8→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
42%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
57%
Strike defense
57%
1.50
Takedown avg.
1.20
45%
Takedown accuracy
38%
49%
Takedown defense
46%
1.70
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Jim MillerMac Danzig
1600165017001750201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
22 (56%)
Submission
11 (50%)
10 (26%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller79%
Mac Danzig 21%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 79% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1597, a 123-point edge.

Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mac Danzig 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.