Combat Edge Intelligence

Jim Miller vs Mark Bocek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
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Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

39-19-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mark Bocek carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+11→ 1731
If they lose-13→ 1707
Mark BocekNow 1697
If they win+17→ 1714
If they lose-15→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.32
57%
Strike defense
61%
1.50
Takedown avg.
3.65
45%
Takedown accuracy
37%
49%
Takedown defense
31%
1.70
Submission avg.
1.32

Trajectory

Jim MillerMark Bocek
17001750201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (18%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
22 (56%)
Submission
7 (58%)
10 (26%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller62%
Mark Bocek 38%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 62% favorite over Mark Bocek in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1697, a 23-point edge.

Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.