Jim Miller vs Matt Wiman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record16-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach68,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamSkrap Pack
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-8→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerMatt Wiman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller73%
Matt Wiman 27%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 73% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1605, a 115-point edge.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Matt Wiman 56%.
Jim Miller carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.