Jim Miller vs Michael Chiesa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamSikjitsu· 1660 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jim Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-11→ 1709
If they win+11→ 1768
If they lose-13→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerMichael Chiesa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa65%
Jim Miller 35%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 65% favorite over Jim Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1757 to 1720, a 37-point edge.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.
Michael Chiesa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.