Jim Miller vs Michael Chiesa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record20-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamSikjitsu
What's at stake
Michael Chiesa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jim Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-11→ 1709
If they win+11→ 1769
If they lose-13→ 1745
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerMichael Chiesa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Chiesa71%
Jim Miller 29%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Chiesa a 71% favorite over Jim Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Michael Chiesa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1758 to 1720, a 38-point edge.
Michael Chiesa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Michael Chiesa 65%.
Michael Chiesa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.