Jim Miller vs Nikolas Motta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nikolas Motta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1705
If they win+19→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerNikolas Motta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller78%
Nikolas Motta 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 78% favorite over Nikolas Motta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1643, a 77-point edge.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Nikolas Motta 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.