Jim Miller vs Steve Lopez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record13-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Steve Lopez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1724
If they lose-20→ 1700
If they win+41→ 1458
If they lose-7→ 1410
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerSteve Lopez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller89%
Steve Lopez 11%Elo baseline: 85%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 89% favorite over Steve Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1417, a 303-point edge.
Steve Lopez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Steve Lopez 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.