Jim Miller vs Yancy Medeiros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-19-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
71"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Sussex County MMATeamTeam Hakuilua
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Yancy Medeiros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704
If they win+21→ 1631
If they lose-11→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jim MillerYancy Medeiros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller71%
Yancy Medeiros 29%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 71% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1610, a 110-point edge.
Jim Miller finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.
Jim Miller and Yancy Medeiros share 1 common opponent: Donald Cerrone.
Yancy Medeiros carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.