Jimmy Crute vs Sam Alvey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-2Record34-18-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
74"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Stewie's House of BJJTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Jimmy Crute is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Sam Alvey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1719
If they lose-19→ 1687
If they win+14→ 1653
If they lose-10→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jimmy CruteSam Alvey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jimmy Crute84%
Sam Alvey 16%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Jimmy Crute a 84% favorite over Sam Alvey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Jimmy Crute holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1639, a 67-point edge.
Jimmy Crute enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jimmy Crute finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Sam Alvey 68%.
Jimmy Crute and Sam Alvey share 1 common opponent: Michał Oleksiejczuk.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.