Jimmy Crute vs Sam Alvey

Feb 10, 2019 · ESPN+

DateFeb 10, 2019

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRod Laver Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, February 10, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Jimmy CruteThe Brute |14-4-2Jimmy Crute vs Sam AlveySam AlveySmile'n |34-18-1

Jimmy CruteThe Brute14-4-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

Time2:49

14-4-2Record34-18-1

30Age40

6'2"Height6'2"

74"Reach75"

205 lbsWeight185 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Sam AlveySmile'n34-18-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Jimmy Crute owns a 70-point Elo edge (good). Jimmy Crute shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Jimmy Crute and Sam Alvey across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jimmy CruteSam Alvey

Recent form

Jimmy CruteW W D L D · +15 Elo last 5

WWDLD

Sam AlveyW L L L L · -44 Elo last 5

WLLLL

Elo edge

Jimmy Crute1707+15 last move

Sam Alvey1637+8 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jimmy Crute#27 of 177 active Light Heavyweight fighters · 1707 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Michał Oleksiejczuk (rated 1684 at the time): +18.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jamahal Hill (rated 1671 at the time): -23.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 1 loss, +15 Elo in total.
Next places: 6 points behind #26 Muhammad Saidov, 0 ahead of #28 Roman Dolidze.

Sam AlveyNot on the active ladder · 1637 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Cameron Graham (rated 1475 at the time): +8.
Costliest loss: Lost to Julian Marquez (rated 1628 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -44 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1569, not 1637: 68 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jimmy CruteNow 1707 · #27 Light Heavyweight

Wins by decision+13→ 1720

Loses by decision-19→ 1688

Sam AlveyNow 1637

Wins by decision+14→ 1651

Loses by decision-10→ 1627

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jimmy CrutevsSam Alvey

Takedown average

4.39vs0.06

Submission average

2.01vs0.06

Takedown accuracy

52%vs14%

Takedown defense

58%vs82%

Finishing profile

Jimmy Crutesubmission leads 43% of wins

Sam AlveyKO/TKO leads 59% of wins

Common opponents

Michał Oleksiejczuk Jimmy Crute: win · Submission (Kimura) · Feb 22, 2020Sam Alvey: loss · TKO (punches) · Aug 6, 2022

Ryan Spann Jimmy Crute: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 9, 2019Sam Alvey: loss · Decision (Split) · May 9, 2020

Ryan Spann Jimmy Crute: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 9, 2019Sam Alvey: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Apr 18, 2020

Tale of the tape

Jimmy CruteSam Alvey

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.15Sig. strikes landed per min3.28

UFC light heavyweight average : 4.00

53Sig. strike accuracy45

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

3.65Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.63

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.73

42Sig. strike defense53

UFC light heavyweight average : 51%

4.39Takedown average0.06

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

52Takedown accuracy14

UFC light heavyweight average : 26%

58Takedown defense82

UFC light heavyweight average : 58%

2.01Submission average0.06

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

5Wins by knockout20

6Wins by submission3

3Wins by decision11

2Losses by knockout4

2Losses by submission3

0Losses by decision11

Jimmy Crute vs Sam Alvey is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on UFC 234 : ADESANYA VS SILVA. Jimmy Crute enters with a 14-4-2 record and Sam Alvey enters with a 34-18-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.