Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingliang Li vs Jonathan Micallef

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71" Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamCombat 1 MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jingliang LiNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Jonathan MicallefNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.22
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.19
Takedown avg.
1.13
42%
Takedown accuracy
67%
60%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

Jingliang LiJonathan Micallef
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
4 (21%)
Submission
4 (40%)
5 (26%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Jonathan Micallef59%
Jingliang Li 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 59% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jingliang Li's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1703), separated by just 0 points.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Micallef 60%.

Jonathan Micallef carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.