Combat Edge Intelligence

Jingliang Li vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
71" Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
China Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jingliang LiNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1703 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.46
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
42%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
57%
Strike defense
62%
1.19
Takedown avg.
0.60
42%
Takedown accuracy
12%
60%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jingliang LiSantiago Ponzinibbio
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (53%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
4 (21%)
Submission
6 (20%)
5 (26%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Ponzinibbio62%
Jingliang Li 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 62% favorite over Jingliang Li in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jingliang Li's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1703 vs 1698), separated by just 5 points.

Jingliang Li enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jingliang Li finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Jingliang Li and Santiago Ponzinibbio share 2 common opponents: Daniel Rodriguez and Muslim Salikhov.

Santiago Ponzinibbio carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (split) · 2022
Daniel Rodriguez
LossTKO · 2025
WinKO/TKO · 2022
Muslim Salikhov
LossDecision - Split · 2024