Jingnan Xiong vs Mackenzie Dern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
64"Reach63"
118 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Mackenzie Dern is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jingnan Xiong carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1730
If they lose-15→ 1698
If they win+15→ 1750
If they lose-17→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jingnan XiongMackenzie Dern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern76%
Jingnan Xiong 24%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 76% favorite over Jingnan Xiong in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Mackenzie Dern holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1713, a 22-point edge.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jingnan Xiong finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Mackenzie Dern 47%.
Jingnan Xiong and Mackenzie Dern share 1 common opponent: Angela Hill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.