Jinnosuke Kashimura vs Shinobu Ota
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record8-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
71"Reach64"
134 lbsWeight134 lbs
Battle Box· 1579 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1646 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Jinnosuke Kashimura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Shinobu Ota carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1621
If they lose-17→ 1589
If they win+17→ 1598
If they lose-15→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jinnosuke KashimuraShinobu Ota
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jinnosuke Kashimura53%
Shinobu Ota 47%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jinnosuke Kashimura a 53% favorite over Shinobu Ota in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jinnosuke Kashimura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1581, a 25-point edge.
Jinnosuke Kashimura finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Shinobu Ota 75%.
Jinnosuke Kashimura and Shinobu Ota share 1 common opponent: Danny Sabatello.
Jinnosuke Kashimura carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.