Combat Edge Intelligence

Jiří Procházka vs Magomed Ankalaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-6-1Record21-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1629 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamGorets Fight Club· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Magomed Ankalaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jiří Procházka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jiří ProcházkaNow 1805
If they win+13→ 1818
If they lose-11→ 1794
Magomed AnkalaevNow 1848
If they win+14→ 1862
If they lose-18→ 1830

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1730 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.69
Sig. strikes / min
3.65
55%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
46%
Strike defense
56%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0.79
60%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
88%
0.17
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jiří ProcházkaMagomed Ankalaev
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

28 (88%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
3 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (3%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Ankalaev59%
Jiří Procházka 41%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 59% favorite over Jiří Procházka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Magomed Ankalaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1805, a 43-point edge.

Jiří Procházka finishes 97% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Ankalaev 52%.

Jiří Procházka and Magomed Ankalaev share 3 common opponents: Alex Pereira, Aleksandar Rakić and Volkan Oezdemir.

Jiří Procházka carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
LossKO/TKO · 2023
Alex Pereira
LossTKO · 2025
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinKO/TKO · 2024
Aleksandar Rakić
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024
WinKO · 2020
Volkan Oezdemir
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021