Combat Edge Intelligence

JJ Aldrich vs Lauren Mueller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record5-4-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
67"Reach38,0"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Freedom FightersTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

JJ Aldrich is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Lauren Mueller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

JJ AldrichNow 1667
If they win+10→ 1677
If they lose-22→ 1645
Lauren MuellerNow 1521
If they win+34→ 1555
If they lose-14→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
4.08
47%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
61%
Strike defense
59%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0.70
27%
Takedown accuracy
50%
68%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

JJ AldrichLauren Mueller
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (80%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

JJ Aldrich83%
Lauren Mueller 17%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes JJ Aldrich a 83% favorite over Lauren Mueller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

JJ Aldrich holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1521, a 146-point edge.

JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Lauren Mueller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Mueller 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.