JJ Aldrich vs Paulina Wisniewska
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
JJ Aldrich53%
Paulina Wisniewska 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes JJ Aldrich a 53% favorite over Paulina Wisniewska in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulina Wisniewska's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1653), separated by just 2 points.
Paulina Wisniewska enters on a 2-fight win streak.
JJ Aldrich finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Paulina Wisniewska 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record8-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+24→ 1677
If they lose-24→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
JJ AldrichPaulina Wisniewska