João Pedro Saldanha vs Maximus Lally
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record6-0-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
69"Reach-
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
RPlay ThaiTeamSBG Charlestown· 1622 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Maximus Lally is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — João Pedro Saldanha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-15→ 1589
If they win+22→ 1652
If they lose-26→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
João Pedro SaldanhaMaximus Lally
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maximus Lally51%
João Pedro Saldanha 49%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Maximus Lally a 51% favorite over João Pedro Saldanha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Maximus Lally holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1604, a 26-point edge.
João Pedro Saldanha enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Maximus Lally enters on a 6-fight win streak.
João Pedro Saldanha finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Maximus Lally 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.