Combat Edge Intelligence

Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-5-1Record8-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao EmilioTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Joanderson Brito is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Melsik Baghdasaryan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joanderson BritoNow 1772
If they win+10→ 1782
If they lose-22→ 1750
Melsik BaghdasaryanNow 1624
If they win+22→ 1646
If they lose-10→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.43
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
51%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
44%
Strike defense
57%
3.38
Takedown avg.
0
68%
Takedown accuracy
0%
48%
Takedown defense
73%
1.13
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joanderson BritoMelsik Baghdasaryan
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
8 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (16%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Joanderson Brito92%
Melsik Baghdasaryan 8%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Joanderson Brito a 92% favorite over Melsik Baghdasaryan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Joanderson Brito holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1624, a 148-point edge.

Joanderson Brito enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Melsik Baghdasaryan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joanderson Brito finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Melsik Baghdasaryan 63%.

Joanderson Brito carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.