Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

Dec 13, 2025 · ESPN+

DateDec 13, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueUFC APEX

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 13, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 2:00 PM
Your time

Joanderson BritoTubarao |20-5-1Joanderson Brito vs Melsik BaghdasaryanMelsik BaghdasaryanThe Gun |8-4-0

Joanderson BritoTubarao20-5-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

20-5-1Record8-4-0

31Age34

5'8"Height5'8"

72"Reach70"

145 lbsWeight145 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Melsik BaghdasaryanThe Gun8-4-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Joanderson Brito owns a 166-point Elo edge (great). Joanderson Brito shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Joanderson Brito and Melsik Baghdasaryan across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Joanderson BritoMelsik Baghdasaryan

Recent form

Joanderson BritoW W W L L · +8 Elo last 5

WWWLL

Melsik BaghdasaryanL L W L W · -25 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Joanderson Brito1787+15 last move

Melsik Baghdasaryan1621-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Joanderson Brito#9 of 401 active Featherweight fighters · 1787 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jack Shore (rated 1776 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Pat Sabatini (rated 1725 at the time): -18.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +8 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #8 Lerone Murphy, 4 ahead of #10 Kevin Vallejos.

Melsik Baghdasaryan#202 of 401 active Featherweight fighters · 1621 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Collin Anglin (rated 1653 at the time): +32.
Costliest loss: Lost to Josh Culibao (rated 1659 at the time): -30.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -25 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #201 Makwan Amirkhani, 0 ahead of #203 Piotr Kacprzak.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Joanderson BritoNow 1787 · #9 Featherweight

Wins by decision+9→ 1796

Loses by decision-23→ 1764

Melsik BaghdasaryanNow 1621 · #202 Featherweight

Wins by decision+23→ 1644

Loses by decision-9→ 1612

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Joanderson BritovsMelsik Baghdasaryan

Takedown average

3.23vs0

Takedown accuracy

6%vs0%

Submission average

1.23vs0

Sig. strikes landed per min

2.38vs5.04

Finishing profile

Joanderson BritoKO/TKO leads 45% of wins

Melsik BaghdasaryanKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

William Gomis Joanderson Brito: loss · Decision (Split) · Sep 28, 2024Melsik Baghdasaryan: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Feb 3, 2024

Tale of the tape

Joanderson BritoMelsik Baghdasaryan

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.38Sig. strikes landed per min5.04

UFC featherweight average : 3.93

51Sig. strike accuracy60

UFC featherweight average : 46%

2.28Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.14

UFC featherweight average : 3.88

44Sig. strike defense57

UFC featherweight average : 54%

3.23Takedown average0

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

6Takedown accuracy0

UFC featherweight average : 29%

58Takedown defense73

UFC featherweight average : 55%

1.23Submission average0

UFC featherweight average : 0.65

9Wins by knockout5

8Wins by submission0

3Wins by decision3

1Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission3

3Losses by decision0

Joanderson Brito vs Melsik Baghdasaryan is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROYVAL VS KAPE. Joanderson Brito enters with a 20-5-1 record and Melsik Baghdasaryan enters with a 8-4-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.