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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joanderson Brito vs Patricio Pitbull

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-5-1Record38-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
72"Reach65"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Joao Emilio· 1706 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1626 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Patricio Pitbull is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joanderson Brito carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joanderson BritoNow 1787
If they win+17→ 1804
If they lose-15→ 1772
Patricio PitbullNow 1802
If they win+11→ 1813
If they lose-13→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.68
51%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.23
44%
Strike defense
58%
3.23
Takedown avg.
1.49
6%
Takedown accuracy
33%
58%
Takedown defense
89%
1.23
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Joanderson BritoPatricio Pitbull
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (45%)
KO/TKO
13 (34%)
8 (40%)
Submission
12 (32%)
3 (15%)
Decision
13 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Joanderson Brito64%
Patricio Pitbull 36%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Joanderson Brito a 64% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patricio Pitbull's way (48%).

Patricio Pitbull holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1787, a 15-point edge.

Joanderson Brito enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Joanderson Brito finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Patricio Pitbull 66%.

Joanderson Brito carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.