Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs Tecia Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'1"
65"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Joanna Jędrzejczyk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tecia Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1701
If they lose-17→ 1669
If they win+17→ 1675
If they lose-15→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joanna JędrzejczykTecia Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Tecia Pennington within a point of even.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1658, a 28-point edge.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Tecia Pennington share 1 common opponent: Weili Zhang.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.