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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joanna Jędrzejczyk vs Lupita Godinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'6"Height5'2"
65"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joanna JędrzejczykNow 1686
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Lupita GodinezNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
48%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
63%
Strike defense
62%
0.27
Takedown avg.
2.99
63%
Takedown accuracy
16%
80%
Takedown defense
77%
0.05
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Joanna JędrzejczykLupita Godinez
165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
1 (6%)
Submission
2 (14%)
11 (69%)
Decision
11 (79%)

Combat Edge model read

Lupita Godinez68%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 32%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 68% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joanna Jędrzejczyk's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1686 vs 1682), separated by just 4 points.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk finishes 31% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Lupita Godinez share 1 common opponent: Jéssica Andrade.

Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDEC · 2017
Jéssica Andrade
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025