Joao Elias vs Seung Guk Choi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record9-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joao EliasSeung Guk Choi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joao Elias55%
Seung Guk Choi 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joao Elias a 55% favorite over Seung Guk Choi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Seung Guk Choi's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1646), separated by just 3 points.
Seung Guk Choi enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joao Elias finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Seung Guk Choi 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.