Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Joaquim Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+20→ 1670
If they lose-12→ 1638
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1728
If they win+9→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
6.40
43%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.01
53%
Strike defense
63%
0.39
Takedown avg.
0.35
50%
Takedown accuracy
20%
69%
Takedown defense
85%
0.78
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaNasrat Haqparast
165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (21%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (29%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast73%
Joaquim Silva 27%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 73% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1650, a 78-point edge.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Joaquim Silva and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: Jared Gordon.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2018
Jared Gordon
WinDecision - Split · 2024