Combat Edge Intelligence

Joaquim Silva vs Nasrat Haqparast

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record18-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joaquim Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+19→ 1669
If they lose-13→ 1637
Nasrat HaqparastNow 1713
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
6.36
43%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6
53%
Strike defense
63%
0.39
Takedown avg.
0.34
50%
Takedown accuracy
5%
69%
Takedown defense
86%
0.78
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joaquim SilvaNasrat Haqparast
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
3 (21%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (29%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Nasrat Haqparast73%
Joaquim Silva 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 73% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1650, a 63-point edge.

Nasrat Haqparast enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joaquim Silva finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.

Joaquim Silva and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: Jared Gordon.

Nasrat Haqparast carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinKO/TKO · 2018
Jared Gordon
WinDecision - Split · 2024