Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record15-2-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'1"
76"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1650 avg Elo · 19 rated
What's at stake
Mike Malott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joaquin Buckley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1754
If they lose-11→ 1730
If they win+14→ 1795
If they lose-18→ 1763
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1744 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin BuckleyMike Malott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Malott59%
Joaquin Buckley 41%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Malott a 59% favorite over Joaquin Buckley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Mike Malott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1781 to 1741, a 40-point edge.
Joaquin Buckley enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mike Malott enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Mike Malott 87%.
Joaquin Buckley carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.