Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRogers Place

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Joaquin BuckleyNew Mansa |21-8-0Joaquin Buckley vs Mike MalottMike MalottProper |14-2-1

Joaquin BuckleyNew Mansa21-8-0

Fight Overview

Round5

Time5:00

21-8-0Record14-2-1

32Age34

5'8"Height6'1"

76"Reach73"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Mike MalottProper14-2-1

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Mike Malott owns a 7-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Joaquin Buckley and Mike Malott across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Joaquin BuckleyMike Malott

Recent form

Joaquin BuckleyL L W W W · +33 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Mike MalottW W W W L · +50 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Elo edge

Joaquin Buckley1755-11 last move

Mike Malott1762+20 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

45%Joaquin Buckley55%Mike Malott

Model favoriteMike Malott

Elo baseline51% for Mike Malott

Matchup adjustment+4 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Mike MalottStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Mike Malott leads the full model at 55%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 4 points.

Current Elo ratings1755 · 1762Mike Malott leads by 7 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1737 · 1678Joaquin Buckley faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth27 · 16 fightsJoaquin Buckley has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesJoaquin Buckley 2 · 2 Mike MalottStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Joaquin Buckley.

Stat advantages

Joaquin BuckleyvsMike Malott

Takedown accuracy

17%vs0%

Submission average

0.08vs0.65

Sig. strike accuracy

36%vs48%

Takedown defense

70%vs57%

Finishing profile

Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO leads 71% of wins

Mike MalottKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

Kevin Holland Joaquin Buckley: loss · TKO (punch) · Aug 8, 2020 Mike Malott: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Oct 18, 2025

Tale of the tape

Joaquin BuckleyMike Malott

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.62Sig. strikes landed per min4.02

UFC welterweight average : 3.67

36Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC welterweight average : 46%

3.10Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.09

UFC welterweight average : 3.83

59Sig. strike defense56

UFC welterweight average : 53%

1.43Takedown average1.63

UFC welterweight average : 1.33

17Takedown accuracy0

UFC welterweight average : 32%

70Takedown defense57

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.08Submission average0.65

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

15Wins by knockout6

0Wins by submission6

6Wins by decision2

4Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision0

Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott is a scheduled Welterweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTT. Joaquin Buckley enters with a 21-8-0 record and Mike Malott enters with a 14-2-1 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.