Joaquin Buckley vs Sean Brady
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-8-0Record19-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
76"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1676 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Sean Brady is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joaquin Buckley carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1769
If they lose-10→ 1745
If they win+14→ 1822
If they lose-18→ 1790
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin BuckleySean Brady
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Brady58%
Joaquin Buckley 42%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Brady a 58% favorite over Joaquin Buckley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Sean Brady holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1755, a 53-point edge.
Joaquin Buckley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joaquin Buckley finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Sean Brady 47%.
Joaquin Buckley carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.