Joaquin Garcia vs Orlando Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record5-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach-
175 lbsWeight158 lbs
Team Oyama· 1650 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Joaquin Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Orlando Sanders carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1601
If they lose-26→ 1553
If they win+26→ 1570
If they lose-22→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin GarciaOrlando Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joaquin Garcia63%
Orlando Sanders 37%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Joaquin Garcia a 63% favorite over Orlando Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Joaquin Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1579 to 1544, a 35-point edge.
Joaquin Garcia enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Joaquin Garcia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.