Joaquin Garcia vs Orlando Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach-
175 lbsWeight158 lbs
Team Oyama· 1646 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Orlando Sanders is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Joaquin Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1574
If they lose-22→ 1526
If they win+22→ 1596
If they lose-26→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joaquin GarciaOrlando Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Orlando Sanders52%
Joaquin Garcia 48%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Orlando Sanders a 52% favorite over Joaquin Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Orlando Sanders holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1574 to 1548, a 26-point edge.
Orlando Sanders enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joaquin Garcia finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.