Joe Duffy vs Marc Diakiese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73.00Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The MMA ClinicTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Marc Diakiese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joe Duffy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1595
If they lose-14→ 1563
If they win+10→ 1641
If they lose-14→ 1617
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe DuffyMarc Diakiese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marc Diakiese76%
Joe Duffy 24%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 76% favorite over Joe Duffy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Marc Diakiese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1577, a 54-point edge.
Joe Duffy enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marc Diakiese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Duffy finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.
Joe Duffy and Marc Diakiese share 1 common opponent: Joel Alvarez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.