Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Gigliotti vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
39.00Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joe GigliottiNow 1470
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.04
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
1.56
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.78
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Joe GigliottiOndřej Raška
145015002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (57%)
Submission
5 (42%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška59%
Joe Gigliotti 41%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 59% favorite over Joe Gigliotti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Gigliotti's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1470 vs 1466), separated by just 4 points.

Joe Gigliotti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joe Gigliotti finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.