Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Lauzon vs Mac Danzig

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

28-15-0Record22-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamDanzig MMA

What's at stake

Joe Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mac Danzig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1635
Mac DanzigNow 1597
If they win+14→ 1611
If they lose-10→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.39
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
55%
Strike defense
57%
2.39
Takedown avg.
1.20
45%
Takedown accuracy
38%
55%
Takedown defense
46%
2.04
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Joe LauzonMac Danzig
16001650170020182019

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
17 (61%)
Submission
11 (50%)
2 (7%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon66%
Mac Danzig 34%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 66% favorite over Mac Danzig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Joe Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1597, a 52-point edge.

Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Mac Danzig 73%.

Joe Lauzon and Mac Danzig share 2 common opponents: Jim Miller and Takanori Gomi.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinKO/TKO · 2015
Takanori Gomi
LossDecision - Split · 2012
LossDEC · 2016
Jim Miller
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2009