Combat Edge Intelligence

Joe Lauzon vs Takanori Gomi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Lauzon
us

Joe Lauzon

“J-Lau”

28-15-0LightweightUFC

1649Solid
Takanori Gomi
jp

Takanori Gomi

“The Fireball Kid”

35-15-0LightweightRFF

1665Good

Tale of the tape

28-15-0Record35-15-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Lauzon MMATeamKugayama Rascal

What's at stake

Takanori Gomi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Lauzon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joe LauzonNow 1649
If they win+13→ 1662
If they lose-11→ 1638
Takanori GomiNow 1665
If they win+11→ 1676
If they lose-13→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.84
Sig. strikes / min
3.81
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
5.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
55%
Strike defense
60%
2.39
Takedown avg.
1.23
45%
Takedown accuracy
65%
55%
Takedown defense
64%
2.04
Submission avg.
0.80

Trajectory

Joe LauzonTakanori Gomi
16501700201720182019

Win method breakdown

9 (32%)
KO/TKO
14 (40%)
17 (61%)
Submission
6 (17%)
2 (7%)
Decision
15 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Lauzon53%
Takanori Gomi 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Lauzon a 53% favorite over Takanori Gomi in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takanori Gomi's way (48%).

Takanori Gomi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1649, a 16-point edge.

Joe Lauzon finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Takanori Gomi 57%.

Joe Lauzon and Takanori Gomi share 2 common opponents: Jim Miller and Diego Sanchez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDEC · 2016
Jim Miller
LossKO/TKO · 2016
WinKO/TKO · 2016
Diego Sanchez
LossDecision - Split · 2013