Joe Proctor vs Magomed Mustafaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
72,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team AggressionTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Mustafaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Joe Proctor carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1617
If they lose-11→ 1585
If they win+11→ 1716
If they lose-21→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joe ProctorMagomed Mustafaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magomed Mustafaev68%
Joe Proctor 32%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Mustafaev a 68% favorite over Joe Proctor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Magomed Mustafaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1596, a 109-point edge.
Joe Proctor enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joe Proctor finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Mustafaev 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.