Joelson Ferreira vs Lucas Cortes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach75"
155 lbsWeight180 lbs
Rickson BJJTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1537
If they lose-24→ 1489
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joelson FerreiraLucas Cortes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joelson Ferreira53%
Lucas Cortes 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Joelson Ferreira a 53% favorite over Lucas Cortes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Cortes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1513 vs 1517), separated by just 4 points.
Joelson Ferreira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Cortes 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.