Joelson Ferreira vs Nick Klein
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Nick Klein57%
Joelson Ferreira 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Klein a 57% favorite over Joelson Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1518), separated by just 2 points.
Nick Klein enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Joelson Ferreira finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Klein 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record6-4-0
LightweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
-Reach77"
155 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1540
If they lose-24→ 1492
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joelson FerreiraNick Klein