John Castañeda vs Nathaniel Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-1Record23-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
The AcademyTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1673
If they win+11→ 1731
If they lose-13→ 1707
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John CastañedaNathaniel Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Castañeda53%
Nathaniel Wood 47%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes John Castañeda a 53% favorite over Nathaniel Wood in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nathaniel Wood's way (45%).
Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1684, a 36-point edge.
John Castañeda finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.
John Castañeda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.