John Castañeda vs Nathaniel Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-8-1Record23-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
71"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
The AcademyTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1710
If they lose-11→ 1686
If they win+11→ 1744
If they lose-13→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John CastañedaNathaniel Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nathaniel Wood60%
John Castañeda 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 60% favorite over John Castañeda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1697, a 36-point edge.
Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
John Castañeda finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.
John Castañeda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.