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Combat Edge Intelligence

John Clarke vs Luis Felipe Dias

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Clarke
us

John Clarke

“Red Velvet”

8-2-0MiddleweightCFX

1618Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record18-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Wai Kru MMATeamParana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John ClarkeNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602
Luis Felipe DiasNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.86
34%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
48%
Strike defense
55%
0.64
Takedown avg.
4.52
15%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
67%
0.43
Submission avg.
1.13

Trajectory

John ClarkeLuis Felipe Dias
1600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
4 (50%)
Submission
8 (44%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Felipe Dias64%
John Clarke 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Felipe Dias a 64% favorite over John Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1620), separated by just 2 points.

John Clarke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

John Clarke finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Luis Felipe Dias 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.