John Dodson vs Nathaniel Wood
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record23-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'6"
66,0"Reach69"
126 lbsWeight145 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Nathaniel Wood is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Dodson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-11→ 1681
If they win+11→ 1744
If they lose-13→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonNathaniel Wood
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nathaniel Wood79%
John Dodson 21%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 79% favorite over John Dodson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Nathaniel Wood holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1692, a 41-point edge.
Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Nathaniel Wood 57%.
Nathaniel Wood carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.