John Dodson vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record22-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
66,0"Reach66"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
John Dodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1703
If they lose-13→ 1679
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-11→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Dodson58%
Tim Elliott 42%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes John Dodson a 58% favorite over Tim Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
John Dodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1657, a 35-point edge.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.