John Dodson vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
66,0"Reach66"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts
What's at stake
John Dodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1703
If they lose-14→ 1679
If they win+14→ 1659
If they lose-10→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John DodsonTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Dodson and Tim Elliott within a point of even.
John Dodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1645, a 48-point edge.
John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.