Combat Edge Intelligence

John Dodson vs Tim Elliott

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Dodson
us

John Dodson

“The Magician”

24-14-0FlyweightRFF

1692Good

Tale of the tape

24-14-0Record21-14-1
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
66,0"Reach66"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNext Generation Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

John Dodson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tim Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John DodsonNow 1692
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1678
Tim ElliottNow 1644
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.20
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.65
62%
Strike defense
58%
0.71
Takedown avg.
3.71
29%
Takedown accuracy
48%
82%
Takedown defense
59%
0
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

John DodsonTim Elliott
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (46%)
KO/TKO
3 (14%)
2 (8%)
Submission
8 (38%)
11 (46%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Dodson and Tim Elliott within a point of even.

John Dodson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1644, a 48-point edge.

John Dodson finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.