John Garza vs Louis Jourdain
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
John Garza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Louis Jourdain carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1633
If they lose-25→ 1585
If they win+17→ 1609
If they lose-15→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John GarzaLouis Jourdain
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Garza55%
Louis Jourdain 45%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes John Garza a 55% favorite over Louis Jourdain in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
John Garza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1592, a 18-point edge.
John Garza finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Louis Jourdain 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.