John Lineker vs Marlon Vera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record24-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach 70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1777
If they lose-18→ 1745
If they win+13→ 1737
If they lose-11→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1757 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John LinekerMarlon Vera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Vera59%
John Lineker 41%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Vera a 59% favorite over John Lineker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans John Lineker's way (44%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1724, a 39-point edge.
John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 79%.
John Lineker and Marlon Vera share 1 common opponent: Cory Sandhagen.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.