Combat Edge Intelligence

John Lineker vs Marlon Vera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
John Lineker
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John Lineker

“Hands of Stone”

37-11-0FeatherweightONE

1750Great
Marlon Vera
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Marlon Vera

“Chito”

23-12-1BantamweightUFC

1710Good

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record23-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach 70"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
OCS Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Oyama

What's at stake

John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marlon Vera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John LinekerNow 1750
If they win+14→ 1764
If they lose-18→ 1732
Marlon VeraNow 1710
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-11→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1710 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1749 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.18
40%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.34
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.56
Takedown avg.
0.47
58%
Takedown accuracy
39%
68%
Takedown defense
72%
0.64
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

John LinekerMarlon Vera
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
4 (11%)
Submission
10 (43%)
14 (39%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting John Lineker and Marlon Vera within a point of even.

John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1710, a 40-point edge.

Marlon Vera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

John Lineker finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Vera 78%.

John Lineker and Marlon Vera share 2 common opponents: Cory Sandhagen and Rob Font.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Split) · 2019
Cory Sandhagen
LossDecision - Split · 2023
WinDEC · 2016
Rob Font
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022