Combat Edge Intelligence

John Makdessi vs Lando Vannata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record12-8-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tristar GymTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

John Makdessi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Lando Vannata carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

John MakdessiNow 1646
If they win+13→ 1659
If they lose-19→ 1627
Lando VannataNow 1571
If they win+19→ 1590
If they lose-13→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.52
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.76
68%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.09
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
86%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

John MakdessiLando Vannata
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (42%)
9 (50%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

John Makdessi57%
Lando Vannata 43%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes John Makdessi a 57% favorite over Lando Vannata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

John Makdessi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1571, a 75-point edge.

John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lando Vannata 75%.

John Makdessi and Lando Vannata share 1 common opponent: Yancy Medeiros.

Lando Vannata carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2015
Yancy Medeiros
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020