John Makdessi vs Yancy Medeiros
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
Tristar GymTeamTeam Hakuilua
What's at stake
John Makdessi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Yancy Medeiros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1660
If they lose-18→ 1628
If they win+18→ 1628
If they lose-14→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MakdessiYancy Medeiros
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Makdessi52%
Yancy Medeiros 48%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes John Makdessi a 52% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
John Makdessi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1610, a 36-point edge.
John Makdessi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Makdessi finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.
John Makdessi and Yancy Medeiros share 2 common opponents: Francisco Trinaldo and Lando Vannata.
Yancy Medeiros carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.