John Moraga vs Joseph Benavidez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record28-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
66,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Joseph Benavidez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Moraga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1715
If they lose-9→ 1691
If they win+9→ 1792
If they lose-15→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
John MoragaJoseph Benavidez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Benavidez60%
John Moraga 40%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Benavidez a 60% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Joseph Benavidez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1783 to 1700, a 83-point edge.
Joseph Benavidez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Benavidez 61%.
John Moraga and Joseph Benavidez share 2 common opponents: Deiveson Figueiredo and Sergio Pettis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.