Combat Edge Intelligence

John Moraga vs Magomed Bibulatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66,0"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamFight Club Akhmat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

John MoragaNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Magomed BibulatovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
44%
Strike accuracy
51%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.83
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.62
Takedown avg.
2.85
23%
Takedown accuracy
40%
45%
Takedown defense
75%
1.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

John MoragaMagomed Bibulatov
1650170020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
8 (42%)
Submission
5 (24%)
8 (42%)
Decision
10 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Bibulatov58%
John Moraga 42%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Bibulatov a 58% favorite over John Moraga in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1705), separated by just 5 points.

Magomed Bibulatov enters on a 3-fight win streak.

John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.