John Moraga vs Magomed Bibulatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-7-0Record21-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
66,0"Reach36,5"
125 lbsWeight136 lbs
Arizona Combat SportsTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 rated
What's at stake
Magomed Bibulatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — John Moraga carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1713
If they lose-11→ 1689
If they win+11→ 1729
If they lose-13→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
John MoragaMagomed Bibulatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Moraga63%
Magomed Bibulatov 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes John Moraga a 63% favorite over Magomed Bibulatov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Bibulatov's way (47%).
Magomed Bibulatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1700, a 18-point edge.
John Moraga finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Bibulatov 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.