John Moraga vs Magomed Bibulatov

Oct 7, 2017 · ESPN+

DateOct 7, 2017

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueT-Mobile Arena

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 7, 2017 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 2:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 11:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 7:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 8:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 5:00 AM
Your time

John MoragaChicano |19-7-0John Moraga vs Magomed BibulatovMagomed BibulatovChaborz |21-3-0

John MoragaChicano19-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

19-7-0Record21-3-0

42Age38

5'6"Height5'5"

66,0"Reach36,5"

125 lbsWeight136 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Magomed BibulatovChaborz21-3-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Magomed Bibulatov owns a 18-point Elo edge (good). Magomed Bibulatov shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare John Moraga and Magomed Bibulatov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

John MoragaMagomed Bibulatov

Recent form

John MoragaL W W W L · +23 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Magomed BibulatovL W W W W · +26 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

John Moraga1700-15 last move

Magomed Bibulatov1718-15 last move

Why they are ranked here

John MoragaNot on the active ladder · 1700 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Magomed Bibulatov (rated 1740 at the time): +23.
Costliest loss: Lost to Matheus Nicolau (rated 1596 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +23 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1610, not 1700: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Magomed BibulatovNot on the active ladder · 1718 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Josiel Silva (rated 1582 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Oleg Borisov (rated 1484 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +26 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1699, not 1718: 19 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

John MoragaNow 1700

Wins by decision+13→ 1713

Loses by decision-11→ 1689

Magomed BibulatovNow 1718

Wins by decision+11→ 1729

Loses by decision-13→ 1705

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

John MoragavsMagomed Bibulatov

Submission average

1.07vs0

Takedown average

0.62vs2.85

Takedown accuracy

23%vs40%

Takedown defense

45%vs75%

Finishing profile

John Moragasubmission leads 42% of wins

Magomed Bibulatovdecision leads 48% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

John MoragaMagomed Bibulatov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57Sig. strikes landed per min3.60

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

44Sig. strike accuracy51

UFC flyweight average : 44%

2.55Sig. strikes absorbed per min1.83

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

56Sig. strike defense52

UFC flyweight average : 55%

0.62Takedown average2.85

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

23Takedown accuracy40

UFC flyweight average : 26%

45Takedown defense75

UFC flyweight average : 57%

1.07Submission average0

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

3Wins by knockout6

8Wins by submission5

8Wins by decision10

2Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission0

4Losses by decision2

John Moraga vs Magomed Bibulatov is a scheduled Flyweight fight on UFC 216 : FERGUSON VS LEE. John Moraga enters with a 19-7-0 record and Magomed Bibulatov enters with a 21-3-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.